tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 12:25 DTW → 14:23 ATL
    DL 2188 · Delta · 1h 58m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:13 ATL → 15:26 BNA
    DL 3142 · Delta · 1h 13m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 01mDTW 12:25 to BNA 15:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.