tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 20:18 JAX → 21:42 ATL
    DL 2189 · Delta · 1h 24m · 70% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:57 EWR +1 day
    DL 2552 · Delta · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 40mJAX 20:18 to EWR 00:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.