tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Charlotte via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 20:18 JAX → 21:42 ATL
    DL 2189 · Delta · 1h 24m · 70% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 ATL → 23:59 CLT
    DL 3177 · Delta · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip3h 41mJAX 20:18 to CLT 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.