tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Detroit via San Francisco: arrives on time 36%

  1. 20:25 LAX → 21:49 SFO
    DL 2197 · Delta · 1h 25m · 45% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 SFO → 06:30 DTW +1 day
    DL 335 · Delta · 4h 35m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 05mLAX 20:25 to DTW 06:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.