tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Santa Ana via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:28 MSP → 20:24 SNA
    DL 2107 · Delta · 3h 56m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 59mDTW 16:25 to SNA 20:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.