tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MSP → 20:36 SAN
    DL 2145 · Delta · 3h 50m · 73% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 15mDTW 16:25 to SAN 20:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.