tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 42%

  1. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 20:52 ANC
    DL 377 · Delta · 5h 42m · 66% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 27mDTW 16:25 to ANC 20:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.