tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Milwaukee via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:14 MSP → 19:37 MKE
    DL 4464 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 12mDTW 16:25 to MKE 19:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.