tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Milwaukee via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 11:51 PHX → 16:56 MSP
    DL 2208 · Delta · 3h 05m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 MSP → 21:28 MKE
    DL 4468 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 37mPHX 11:51 to MKE 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.