tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 BNA → 08:12 MSP
    DL 2221 · Delta · 2h 12m · 96% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MSP → 13:35 RIC
    DL 5063 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 35m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 35mBNA 06:00 to RIC 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.