tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 BNA → 08:12 MSP
    DL 2221 · Delta · 2h 12m · 96% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:38 MSP → 13:29 SAN
    DL 2125 · Delta · 3h 51m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 29mBNA 06:00 to SAN 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.