tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 BNA → 08:12 MSP
    DL 2221 · Delta · 2h 12m · 96% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 MSP → 11:25 MEM
    DL 3989 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 15m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 25mBNA 06:00 to MEM 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.