tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Austin via Orlando: arrives on time 32%

  1. 12:45 MSP → 17:02 MCO
    DL 2225 · Delta · 3h 17m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 MCO → 19:57 AUS
    DL 2524 · Delta · 3h 07m · 56% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 12mMSP 12:45 to AUS 19:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.