tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:56 ATL → 16:35 RIC
    DL 1214 · Delta · 1h 39m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 177 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 55mJFK 08:40 to RIC 16:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.