tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 ATL → 14:05 RIC
    DL 1437 · Delta · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 25mJFK 08:40 to RIC 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.