tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 72%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 ATL → 14:13 TPA
    DL 1525 · Delta · 1h 26m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 32mJFK 08:40 to TPA 14:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.