tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ATL → 16:47 IAD
    DL 1695 · Delta · 1h 48m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 07mJFK 08:40 to IAD 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.