tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:17 ATL → 14:02 IAD
    DL 2135 · Delta · 1h 45m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 22mJFK 08:40 to IAD 14:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.