tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Providence via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 ATL → 16:31 PVD
    DL 2314 · Delta · 2h 29m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 51mJFK 08:40 to PVD 16:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.