tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:46 ATL → 15:56 IAH
    DL 2890 · Delta · 2h 12m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 18mJFK 08:40 to IAH 15:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.