tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:21 ATL → 13:57 MSP
    DL 2901 · Delta · 2h 36m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 17mJFK 08:40 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.