tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Hebron via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 ATL → 15:13 CVG
    DL 3169 · Delta · 1h 24m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 33mJFK 08:40 to CVG 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.