tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:59 ATL → 15:03 DAL
    DL 512 · Delta · 2h 13m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 32mJFK 08:40 to DAL 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.