tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:15 SMF → 11:40 MSP
    DL 2229 · Delta · 3h 25m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 MSP → 17:02 MCO
    DL 2225 · Delta · 3h 17m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 47mSMF 06:15 to MCO 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.