tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:15 SMF → 11:40 MSP
    DL 2229 · Delta · 3h 25m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 MSP → 17:39 IAH
    DL 2644 · Delta · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 24mSMF 06:15 to IAH 17:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.