tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Appleton via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 13:31 LAS → 18:44 MSP
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 13m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 MSP → 22:58 ATW
    DL 4920 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 13m · 67% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 27mLAS 13:31 to ATW 22:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.