tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:31 LAS → 18:44 MSP
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 13m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MSP → 23:25 IAD
    DL 4129 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 54mLAS 13:31 to IAD 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.