tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Salt Lake City via Las Vegas: arrives on time 59%

  1. 11:10 MSP → 12:26 LAS
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 18m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 LAS → 15:48 SLC
    DL 1659 · Delta · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 38mMSP 11:10 to SLC 15:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.