tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:55 SLC → 19:24 DTW
    DL 2244 · Delta · 3h 29m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DTW → 22:16 JFK
    DL 1316 · Delta · 2h 03m · 62% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 18mSLC 13:55 to JFK 22:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.