Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%
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18:27 JFK → 20:53 MSPDL 2245 · Delta · 3h 26m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled
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54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:47 MSP → 23:30 SANDL 2146 · Delta · 3h 46m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled
Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.
Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 06mJFK 18:27 to SAN 23:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.