tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tulsa via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:09 ORD → 16:40 SLC
    DL 2249 · Delta · 3h 31m · 68% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 SLC → 20:45 TUL
    DL 3825 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 56mORD 14:09 to TUL 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.