tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 07:32 ORD
    DL 2251 · Delta · 2h 32m · 93% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:32 ORD → 11:54 TVC
    AA 4190 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 22m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 54mLGA 06:00 to TVC 11:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.