tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 07:32 ORD
    DL 2251 · Delta · 2h 32m · 93% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:52 ORD → 11:23 DTW
    DL 4456 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 23mLGA 06:00 to DTW 11:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.