tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 09:00 DTW → 09:55 MSP
    DL 2258 · Delta · 1h 55m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 MSP → 13:10 SFO
    DL 2074 · Delta · 4h 10m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 10mDTW 09:00 to SFO 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.