tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Minneapolis via Las Vegas: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:27 AUS → 16:20 LAS
    DL 2260 · Delta · 2h 53m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LAS → 22:31 MSP
    DL 1542 · Delta · 3h 11m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 04mAUS 15:27 to MSP 22:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.