tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 15:27 AUS → 16:20 LAS
    DL 2260 · Delta · 2h 53m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:06 LAS → 19:28 SNA
    DL 4179 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 22m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 01mAUS 15:27 to SNA 19:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.