tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:30 TPA → 09:50 MSP
    DL 2263 · Delta · 3h 20m · 92% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:58 SEA
    DL 889 · Delta · 3h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 28mTPA 07:30 to SEA 12:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.