tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:12 BUF → 19:25 ATL
    DL 2266 · Delta · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 ATL → 21:52 MCO
    DL 1735 · Delta · 1h 37m · 61% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 40mBUF 17:12 to MCO 21:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.