tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:12 BUF → 19:25 ATL
    DL 2266 · Delta · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 23:04 JFK
    DL 2101 · Delta · 2h 34m · 47% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 52mBUF 17:12 to JFK 23:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.