tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:02 PHL → 14:05 ATL
    DL 2270 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ATL → 16:47 IAD
    DL 1695 · Delta · 1h 48m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 45mPHL 12:02 to IAD 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.