tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Key West via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:02 PHL → 14:05 ATL
    DL 2270 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 ATL → 17:23 EYW
    DL 2168 · Delta · 1h 58m · 79% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 21mPHL 12:02 to EYW 17:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.