tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 12:02 PHL → 14:05 ATL
    DL 2270 · Delta · 2h 04m · 88% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 189 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 22mPHL 12:02 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.