tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 11:32 MSP → 12:46 PHX
    DL 2274 · Delta · 3h 18m · 81% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:49 PHX → 20:30 XNA
    AA 4086 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 41m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 58mMSP 11:32 to XNA 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.