tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Sioux Falls via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 13:51 PHX → 19:00 MSP
    DL 2274 · Delta · 3h 08m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 MSP → 23:06 FSD
    DL 1694 · Delta · 1h 04m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 18mPHX 13:51 to FSD 23:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.