tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 13:51 PHX → 19:00 MSP
    DL 2274 · Delta · 3h 08m · 81% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:13 MSP → 00:59 ANC +1 day
    DL 411 · Delta · 5h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip12h 04mPHX 13:51 to ANC 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.