tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 14:32 PHL → 16:37 ATL
    DL 2279 · Delta · 2h 06m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:54 ATL → 20:32 MSY
    DL 1450 · Delta · 1h 38m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 00mPHL 14:32 to MSY 20:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.