tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Key West via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 14:32 PHL → 16:37 ATL
    DL 2279 · Delta · 2h 06m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 ATL → 19:53 EYW
    DL 2815 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 21mPHL 14:32 to EYW 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.