tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 14:32 PHL → 16:37 ATL
    DL 2279 · Delta · 2h 06m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 52mPHL 14:32 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.