tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:32 PHL → 16:37 ATL
    DL 2279 · Delta · 2h 06m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 ATL → 18:10 MSY
    DL 3132 · Delta · 1h 35m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 38mPHL 14:32 to MSY 18:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.