tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:32 PHL → 16:37 ATL
    DL 2279 · Delta · 2h 06m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:42 ATL → 21:48 SFO
    DL 495 · Delta · 5h 01m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip10h 11mPHL 14:32 to SFO 21:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.